And she heads a Conservative Party barely able to conceal its disarray after such a long spell in government, just as Britain is about to lunge from an energy and cost-of-living crisis into full-blown recession. The rail strikes are the biggest in decades. Yoda Age: 22. Political Monitor. Some opinion pollsters ask voters which party leader they would prefer as prime minister: Liz Truss (Conservative Party) or Keir Starmer (Labour Party). He helped Labour raise 100 million from 1994 to 2007, before leaving when Blair resigned and he still has deep links to Britains private sector. Now all the polls are reporting not just that Labour is in the lead but that people would rather have Starmer as prime minister than the incumbent. The date range for opinion polls is from the 2019 United Kingdom general election, held on 12 December, to the present day. Keir Starmer is the 1st most popular Labour politician and the 2nd most popular politician & political figure. and already Sunak seems to be making inroads into the Labour opinion poll lead, perhaps due to positive coverage of his NI Protocol efforts. This week, though, has provided a reminder of two important things that deserve to be noted by political observers. It is a dramatic capitulation for a party in opposition that grew out of the activities of the trade union movement. The polls may be indicating a huge win for Labour at the next general election, but here's a reason Keir Starmer shouldn't be celebrating yet: Almost two in three voters want a new political party to take on the Conservatives and Labour, a shock new study of trust in politics has found. In a similar vein, Starmer has strictly distanced Labour from the spate of strikes breaking out as workers struggle with escalating costs, despite earlier committing towork shoulder to shoulder with the unions to stand up for working people, tackle insecure work and low pay Oppose Tory attacks on the right to take industrial action and the weakening of workplace rights., While Starmer has agreed, when pressed, that workers have a right to strike in principle, his office has condemned strikes, like the rail unions, when they actually take place. Opinion Rishi Sunak. Advocacy group the Labour Muslim Network (LMN . Approval ratings for former party leaders, Preferred Prime Minister and Chancellor polling, Question asked for joint approval of Ed Davey & Mark Pack, Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election, Opinion polling on the United Kingdom rejoining the European Union (2020present), https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Leadership_approval_opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election&oldid=1141047708, Leadership approval opinion polling for United Kingdom general elections, Short description with empty Wikidata description, Wikipedia articles in need of updating from November 2022, All Wikipedia articles in need of updating, Wikipedia articles in need of updating from January 2022, Wikipedia articles in need of updating from October 2022, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, This page was last edited on 23 February 2023, at 02:35. SIR Keir Starmer has seen his ranking plunge in the polls after a terrible fortnight of bungles. The protocol deal has not yet been approved. The party was clearly in the middle of a dramatic transformation. Keir Starmer was rewarded for his "strategic patience", according to an ally, when . Why wont anyone tell me anything?. Rishi Sunak is shaping up to be a prime minister Keir Starmer should be wary of. 2021 Associated Newspapers Limited. His job approval rating is bumping along at -26. As a strategy to win an election the speech "did the trick". This represents a five-point jump for Labour when compared to polling carried out by the channel last week, and no movement at all for the Conservatives, who remain on 21% of the vote. In some ways, the content of the protocol deal was the relatively straightforward bit. The man who would be Prime Minister addressed St. Columb's politics students and students from the . Left-wing Labour MP Diane Abbott said Starmer seems to be reverting to the worst practices of New Labour., What business will want, because theyre giving us all this money, is theyll want results, she said. People in Britain, generally, are much more cynical about big money influencing politics, he warned. He has been Member of Parliament (MP) for Holborn and St Pancras since 2015. R&WS Research Team. He urged those in the session to make sure that as we go into that election and hopefully the other side of that election, we are saying the right thing in the right way about what we can achieve.. Asked if they wanted their home to remain British, Falkland Islanders said Yes by 99.8 per cent . Keir Starmer is delighted she is hoping to join our preparations for government and our mission," the spokesperson said. The big winner in all this, however, is disillusionment. Amid all that, Sunak didnt cower in the bunker. On this Wikipedia the language links are at the top of the page across from the article title. Some Blairites believe Labours most electorally successful leader must be officially welcomed back into the tent to show the public how serious the party is about winning. These include the new constituency boundaries on which the next election will be fought, the reduction in the number of seats from Wales and Scotland, and the fact that the Tories need a smaller lead than Labour in the overall national vote to be the largest party at Westminster or to have an overall majority. Starmer certainly is not doing so. The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Rishi Sunak, leader of the Conservative Party since 24 October 2022 and Prime Minister of the United Kingdom since 25 October 2022. None of this means Sunak is suddenly the effective and successful leader that the Tory party has lacked for so long. 61 per cent want 'completely new type of political . The 10-point gap has been roughly stable since June, with the resignation of Boris Johnson and the leadership election having no significant impact on the polls. It is a dramatic capitulation for a party in opposition that grew out of the activities of the trade union movement and still affirms on its website that its affiliation with leading unions is what makes [Labour] unique. The Windsor Framework "gives enough" to end the Stormont stalemate, Sir Keir Starmer believes. In the aftermath of the Autumn Budget, I imagine these numbers will be a relief to Starmer and his team. It also helps that Starmer is the first Labour leader since Blair to do it himself he actually seems to enjoy fundraising.. "The Labour leader has taken a significant fall across all metrics in the last two weeks, particularly being a strong leader, looking like a prime minister in waiting, and being able to get things done. These could include a comparison of leading politicians within the same party (to gauge support for future leadership contests), or compare the current leader of one party to an alternative leader of a second. While those on the Corbynite left consider the cash drive morally suspect, the right of the party asserts its the sign of a leader prepared for power. Labour extended its lead nationally to 27%, the widest margin it has held since Sunak became PM in October, while also opening up a lead of 28% in the Red Wall (another record lead with Sunak as Prime Minister). A senior Labour source said: We know what needs to be done between now and the next election and are ticking everything off on the list. . Poll says 56% of people think . Keir Starmer faced a grilling from students during a visit to St. Columb's College on Friday. The prominent involvement of Labour MP Zarah Sultana, a Corbyn supporter, suggests the depth of frustration in growing sections of the party at the direction Starmer has taken. The head of the opposition has resolutely avoided offering any kind of vision for Britain, fearful it might be construed as vaguely socialist, and has even been averse to robustly challenging the ruling Tory party. Leadership approval opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election. Politics. She told ITV's . Like the Tories, Starmer sees the economy in terms of a battle between the incompatible demands of employers - the state and big business - on one side, and workers on the other. Hes a lawyer hes learning his brief.. While 28% think Johnson would make the best prime minister, 26% opted for Starmer. These are people that dont have to be spending their time and money doing this, a Labour shadow Cabinet minister said. That has included reneging on his commitment to take back into public ownership key utilities, including gas and electricity. Search. When Starmer was running for leader, many of his supporters expressed how important it was that he looked like a prime-minister-in . The leader of the Labour Party Keir Starmer says that under the current rate, the average British family will be poorer than the average Polish family by 2030Parliament TV One Labour MP described Alli as absolutely lovely and very persuasive. Referring to his status as one of the worlds only openly gay Muslim politicians, they added: You should never underestimate someone from his background who has fought that hard for LGBT rights.. A by-election caused by Ms Cooper's decision would be the first major electoral test for Liz Truss since she entered No10. Given all of this, it would be simply astonishing if Starmer werent leading in the polls. Starmer clearly believes very firmly in the corrupt FPTP system as . While 50% of voters in Britain still see the Government Sunak leads as incompetent, the Governments net competency rating is only marginally lower now than it was in late January (down one point to -34%). Although they remain neck-and-neck on 38% each in the traditionally Conservative-voting Blue Wall, Starmer has opened up a lead of 7% in the Red Wall constituencies (three points lower than the 10-point margin he held at the end of January) and a 9% lead across the whole of Great Britain (three points more than at the end of January). This was a fall of six points, while Mr Johnson saw his popularity climb by eight points to 40%. Approval for the government's handling of the pandemic is at its highest since mid-April last year, with 47% of adults happy and 33% disapproving. The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Carla Denyer and Adrian Ramsay, co-leaders of the Green Party of England and Wales since October 2021. To me, Starmer is hyper-competent as a manager and organiser. Latest news, analysis and comment from POLITICOs editors and guest writers in Europe. 29 days ago . But his U-turn looks all the more foolhardy given the current energy crisis and the Tory governments massive bailouts of suppliers. If you do not have an account you can register here. For years, we shocked people with Corbyn as leader in the worst way possible and we now need to shock them in positive ways, the shadow Cabinet minister quoted earlier said. Despite the prime ministers problems, from the fall of Kabul to the defence of Owen Paterson, the myth of his personal invincibility seemed to persist. Voiced by artificial intelligence. But the work that Keir has been doing to reform the party, often without fanfare, means that we can seriously talk about winning the next election. He is also said to regularly chat with Starmer about the job of opposition leader and what to expect if he enters No. All rights reserved. A return to power-sharing at Stormont, with the DUP playing second fiddle to Sinn Fin, is a long way off. One month ago he was on -3 in the equivalent BMG poll and in June the number of people who were satisfied was the same as those dissatisfied. From the (limited) media I read it was pretty well received and will maintain/increase Labour's lead in the opinion polls. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. There is also majority support for helping the more than 600,000 people on benefits to have to meet with a work coach to help them back into the labour market. Boris Johnson makes a better prime minister than Keir Starmer would despite Partygate, the cost of living crisis and the confidence vote in Johnson held by his MPs, according to the latest Observer poll.. . The views expressed in this article belong to the author and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Middle East Eye. Latest news, analysis and comment on elections in Europe and beyond. Keir Starmers wait-it-out approach may finally be beginning to pay dividends, two and a half years after he was elected Labour leader. But the publics view of the the Labour leader himself appears to be becoming more negative, following weeks in which he has been accused of failing to be more forceful on the cost of living. Businesses arent altruists giving us all this money means that they will tend to want more movement towards the interests of business., Mandelson, meanwhile, told POLITICO Labour needs many more individual donors to compensate for the sums currently being withheld by hard-left controlled unions.. The Labour leaders promises to team up with business may unsettle some on the left of his party, who are already worried about Starmers increasingly cosy relationship with the City. Labour holds a 10-point lead over the Conservatives as Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak attack each other in public but Sir Keir Starmers personal ratings have gone backwards. Sir Keir had started to close the gap in April, pollsters Opimium said, but in a survey held on 13 and 14 May, he garnered just 23% support as preferred prime minister. LONDON Keir Starmer wants big business to "mold" Labour's election plans and get its "fingerprints" on his policy agenda. Time. On policy delivery, the Government continues to struggle massively on the three key issues of the economy, the NHS, and immigration. Starmer has transplanted many of Blairs favorite donor point-people into his close circle to build a powerhouse fundraising team. His decision to attend the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos last month and his comments that he prefers the gathering to Westminster also reveal how comfortable Starmer is schmoozing with the global elite. The remainder say they neither support nor oppose or they do now know). Now that would shock people.. Levys return to the fold has also provided a big boost to Labours fundraising clout. Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer is trailing Boris Johnson as the British public's preferred prime minister by 17 percentage points, according to a new poll. Rishi Sunak branded Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer 'Mr 2nd Referendum' as he told the 1922 Committee of backbench Tories that the public are sick of Brexit 'drama'. How the PM could block sleaze watchdog's advice on Gray hire and if Labour will ignore him, Opinion | Boris Johnsons 'jobs for Tory cronies' legacy is still alive and kicking, Tory MPs furious at Starmer hiring Sue Gray as Rees-Mogg calls her report 'left-wing stitch-up', publics view of the the Labour leader himself appears to be becoming more negative, Keir Starmer will have been hoping for a polling bounce following his big announcement on freezing energy bills, 'How bad are the pics? Ursula von der Leyen, the European commission president, was well briefed. Combined with his purges of the Labour left, including Corbyn, using antisemitism as the pretext, Starmer has hollowed out left-wing politics in the UK of any substance. Sir Keir took over his party's leadership from Jeremy Corbyn in April last year, and by September the party was ahead of the Conservatives in some polls for the first time since Mr Johnson became prime minister. Keir Starmer was rewarded for his strategic patience, according to an ally, when just as the year ended, he took a clear lead over Boris Johnson as the leader people would prefer to have as prime minister. Labours registered donationsin 2022 equalled 21.34 million millions more than the rival Conservative Party, figures published Thursday show. LONDON: Keir Starmer, the leader of Britain's opposition Labour Party, has picked as his new chief of staff Sue Gray, a government official whose investigation helped catalyse the exit of Boris . Keir Starmers looking to the past and talking up a business role in the future in drive to fill party coffers. But other Starmer allies dismissed the findings, claiming it was difficult to draw . Latest news, analysis and comment on French politics and beyond. Team Starmer will be watching the next few opinion polls very closely. Starmer is said to have become increasingly comfortable in these settings over the past 12 months as his status as prime minister-in-waiting Labour is consistently polling 20 points ahead of the Tories is further entrenched. 'A poll the other day had . At various dates in the run up to the next United Kingdom general election, various organisations have carried out opinion polling to gauge the opinions that voters hold towards political leaders. The battered economy, on which Starmer focused almost all his questions to Sunak in the Commons yesterday, remains far and away the central battleground of electoral politics for the foreseeable future. As popular anger mounts, Starmers lack of vision for a sustainable future risks plunging parliamentary politics into even deeper crisis. New polling shows that Muslims in the UK are losing faith in the Labour Party, driven partly by unfavourable views towards leader Keir Starmer. The Labour leader is rated better on dealing with the cost of living than both Rishi Sunak and Liz Truss. Second, it confirmed that he may be starting to steer the Tory party towards a more moderate and pragmatic place. In-depth reporting, data and actionable intelligence for policy professionals all in one place. Sunak had to market a compromise not just to the DUP, but also to a Tory party in which too many had become intoxicated with their own dogmas which is exactly why Sunak lost to Truss last summer. In addition to leading a party with a commanding position in our voting intention polls, Starmer himself holds healthy approval ratings in all our tracker polls. These polls asked the opinions of British voters, not specifically Scottish voters. 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But Starmers success - assuming it can be maintained - has come at an extraordinarily high political price. The damage done by the polarisation, recklessness, venality and destructiveness of the May-Johnson-Truss years casts long shadows that will shape the politics of this decade. This is especially true for Labour voters, more than half of whom blame Truss (44%) or Sunak (10%) for the current crisis while only 11% blame global events. The opinion polls have turned in the Labour leader's favour - vindicating his 'strategic patience'. February was another good month of polling for the Labour Party and Keir Starmer, who ended January holding a 21% lead over the Conservatives. But his handling of the Northern Ireland protocol changes this week suggests a leader with more in the tank than critics have allowed. Even some Tory rebels were baffled by Starmers performance, saying it had helped Johnson regain some stability after the confidence vote. The Labour leader has made a dirty word of socialism and shown that his own word counts for nothing. Sunaks challenge will be to convince the country that its current problems lie more with global events than his own party, but that will be very, very hard given how strongly people feel about this. Latest UK Opinion Polls: Government approval recent changes. One member of Labours National Executive Committee (NEC), the partys ruling body, said Alli is a high net worth individual himself which will make quite a difference when he needs to tap people up to say Im giving money, you need to as well.'. Some of the more detailed polling questions, which have given Johnson the benefit of the doubt all year, have also turned. . He also had the shameless Johnson and the Faragiste Tory press bursting to make trouble. Start your Independent Premium subscription today. She has managed the difficult feat of appearing to be both opportunistic and a political ideologue for big business who lacks the popular touch. 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Do you believe Keir Starmer's words? The more he engages with people from the City, the more he feels comfortable with the vocabulary and the issues, a department head at an investment bank said. Ipsos publishes the latest results of UK opinion polls and voting intention. Last modified on Thu 2 Mar 2023 08.43 EST. In an interview with the New Statesman last month, Tarry offered a damning assessment of the Labour leader, accusing him of tearing the party apart to erase any trace of Corbynism, despite his predecessor taking the party in 2017 to within an inch of an election victory. Sir Keir's office declined to comment, saying it did not offer 'running commentaries' on opinion polls. However, it is not all bad news for Starmer. BMG are members of the British Polling Council and abide by their rules. Previous iterations contained Liz Truss and Jeremy Hunt, Liz Truss and Kwasi Kwarteng, and Keir Starmer and Anneliese Dodds. Which will be only too evident as he addresses Labours annual conference next week. Theres no complacency but we remain confident of the strategy we have to get Keir to No 10., Original reporting and incisive analysis, direct from the Guardian every morning. Inflation, higher interest rates, energy price hikes and strikes ensured a grim winter. And finally, it worked. The Labour leaders raft of broken promises on key issues likely to be close to the hearts of voters as their living standards collapse risks casting him as unreliable and untrustworthy. He is very much, here is the problem and this is the solution. politics . . In GB as a whole, the Governments net approval rating for its handling of these three issues now sits at -35% (down four points from late January), -49% (-7), and -39% (-3) respectively. Yet Keir Starmer's 'mission statement' last week managed something that nearly all speeches from those in his job - including most of his own - fail to achieve: broadly favourable and widespread coverage of his core message that Labour is a government . Nicola Sturgeons departure has disarmed the Scottish separatist threat for a while.. about 1 month ago . Starmer has experience that Blair didn't. Around the middle of the year, however, the tide started to turn. He has banned Labours front bench from joining picket lines, an edict that has been defied by several of them and looked all the more risible as even barristers have begun taking industrial action. Latest news, analysis and comment from POLITICOs editors and guest writers on the continent. He could hardly have been in a weaker position than he was when he took over as Tory leader in October. Our one rule for them framing is paying off, said the source, with Johnson proving it to be true time and again. The breach with Rayner was serious, and would continue to be for the rest of the year, but she was no threat to Starmers position as leader. The latest news, data and analysis on the worlds pandemic response. Keir Starmer has been urged to intervene in the selection process for a Labour target "red wall" seat, after a leading candidate who had the support of eight trade unions was blocked from . Potential Tory rebels faced a pincer movement of private pressure at Westminster alongside assured ministerial actions on the national stage. UK ; About ; For business . After languishing stubbornly behind the government in surveys since his election to head Labour in early 2020, Starmer is now reported to have a seven-point lead over the Tories new leader, Liz Truss, when the public is asked who would do a better job as prime minister. Latest news, analysis and comment on migration in Europe and beyond. To top it all, Trusss government has vowed to let the energy sector continue raking in inflated profits rather than impose a crowd-pleasing windfall tax. The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Boris Johnson, leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister of the United Kingdom from 24 July 2019 to 6 September 2022. politics . Robert Struthers of BMG told i: Keir Starmer will have been hoping for a polling bounce following his big announcement on freezing energy bills to tackle the energy crisis at the beginning of this week. He is not. Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in, The opinion polls have turned in the Labour leaders favour vindicating his strategic patience, Find your bookmarks in your Independent Premium section, under my profile. Filter. After three years of near-destitution brought on by COVID-19, falling membership numbers and reduced union funding the party is now beginning to look cashed-up. Starmers hope was that the public would eventually tire of the glaring cronyism and corruption of a ruling party that has been 12 years in power. But it is circumstance - not a political programme - that has conspired to help Starmer. Prof Goodwin said: Keir Starmers Labour Party continues to hold a strong lead when it comes to managing the economy, which is also the most important issue for voters.
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